FORECASTING OF FORMATION OF PHARMACEUTICAL GLASS WASTE TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE COVID-19 DATABASE
Subject of research: forecasting the formation of pharmaceutical glass waste in medical institutions, taking into account the peculiarities of the use of medicines during the COVID-19 epidemic in Ukraine.
Research problem: Predicting the formation and accumulation of pharmaceutical glass waste in hospitals in order to implement effective environmental management and determine the resource possibilities for further waste disposal.
Main scientific results: A model has been developed that can be used to predict the generation of pharmaceutical waste from glass in hospitals in the country during an epidemic, as well as in the presence of the necessary input data in a non-epidemic period. Based on regression analysis and using the Minitab-19 software, the dependences of the volume of pharmaceutical waste from glass on three variable factors were determined. Using statistical data on the incidence of COVID-19 in Ukraine, using the developed model, the PGW volume in the Volyn region for a given period of time was calculated.
The scope of practical application of the research results: planning of measures to improve the environmental safety of handling pharmaceutical glass waste; development of business models for the disposal of this waste.
An innovative technological product: the predictive model helps to identify the resource possibilities of using pharmaceutical glass waste for industrial waste disposal.
Scope of application of the innovative technological product: medical waste management, industrial disposal of pharmaceutical glass waste.
Lessler, J. (2020). Coronavirus will linger after the pandemic ends. But it won’t be as bad. Washington Post. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/coronavirus-pandemic-immunity-vaccine/2020/03/12/bbf10996-6485-11ea-acca-80c22bbee96f_story.html
Serbinova, L., Fesan, H., Tymoshchuk, O. (2017). Justification of feasibility of medical waste recycling and processing by incineration at the healthcare facilities. Visnyk KrNU imeni Mykhaila Ostrohradskoho, 5 (106), 136–142.
Al-Khatib, I. A., Eleyan, D., Garfield, J. (2016). A system dynamics approach for hospital waste management in a city in a developing country: the case of Nablus, Palestine. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 188 (9). doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-016-5487-9
Golbaz, S., Nabizadeh, R., Sajadi, H. S. (2019). Comparative study of predicting hospital solid waste generation using multiple linear regression and artificial intelligence. Journal of Environmental Health Science and Engineering, 17 (1), 41–51. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40201-018-00324-z
Samoilenko, N., Shchukina, L., Baranova, A. (2019). Development of engobe composition with the use of pharmaceutical glass waste for glazed ceramic granite. Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 4 (10 (100)), 6–12. doi: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2019.175922
COVID – 19 Coronavirus pandemic (2020). Available at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Ghinea, C., Drăgoi, E. N., Comăniţă, E.-D., Gavrilescu, M., Câmpean, T., Curteanu, S., Gavrilescu, M. (2016). Forecasting municipal solid waste generation using prognostic tools and regression analysis. Journal of Environmental Management, 182, 80–93. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.07.026
Tymchasovi metodychni rekomendatsiyi «Diahnostyka, likuvannia, profilaktyka uskladnen, intensyvna terapiia koronavirusnoi infektsiyi» (2019 nCoV) (2020). Kyiv.
Koronavirus v Ukraini (2020). Available at: https://index.minfin.com.ua/reference/coronavirus/ukraine/
Safranov, T., Shanina, T., Panchenko, T. (2015). The problem of medical waste classification and treatment in Ukraine. Visnyk Odeskoho derzhavnoho ekolohichnoho universytetu, 19, 6–11.
Postanova Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy No. 641 pro vstanovlennia karantynu ta zaprovadzhennia posylenykh protyepidemichnykh zakhodiv na terytoriyi iz znachnym poshyrenniam hostroi respiratornoi khvoroby COVID-19, sprychynenoi koronavirusom SARS-CoV-2 (2020). Kyiv. Available at: https://www.kmu.gov.ua/npas/pro-vstanovlennya-karantinu-ta-zapr-641
Abu-Qdais, H. A., Al-Ghazo, M. A., Al-Ghazo, E. M. (2020). Statistical analysis and characteristics of hospital medical waste under novel Coronavirus outbreak. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 6, 21–30. doi: http://doi.org/10.22034/GJESM.2019.06.SI.03
Prihartanto (2020). Perkiraan timbulan limbah medis bahan berbahaya Dan beracun (b3) dari rumah sakit penanganan pasien COVID-19. Jurnal Sains dan Teknologi Mitigasi Bencana, 15 (1), 12–18.
Copyright (c) 2020 Antonina Baranova, Nataliia Samoilenko, Inna Pitak
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Our journal abides by the Creative Commons CC BY copyright rights and permissions for open access journals.
Authors, who are published in this journal, agree to the following conditions:
1. The authors reserve the right to authorship of the work and pass the first publication right of this work to the journal under the terms of a Creative Commons CC BY, which allows others to freely distribute the published research with the obligatory reference to the authors of the original work and the first publication of the work in this journal.
2. The authors have the right to conclude separate supplement agreements that relate to non-exclusive work distribution in the form in which it has been published by the journal (for example, to upload the work to the online storage of the journal or publish it as part of a monograph), provided that the reference to the first publication of the work in this journal is included.